Trading Tesla
We’ve traded Tesla (TSLA 0.00%↑) on both sides of the market. In April 2025, we opened a bearish call spread and closed it three days later for a 292% return on maximum risk. That exit is recorded in the original alert thread.
Our bullish call spread from November 2024 returned 378% on maximum risk when we closed it the following month. That exit is recorded in the original alert thread.
What Owning One Changed
Since those trades, I bought a Model Y Dual Motor Premium. Its Full Self-Driving (Supervised) system has impressed me most. According to the stats the car keeps, I’ve used it 98% of the time I’ve been in the car.
This week, on a rural road, flaggers had closed one lane and were alternating traffic with stop and slow signs. The car read the situation, waited its turn, and navigated through when our side was released. Watching that unfold from the driver’s seat made the potential of embodied AI feel more concrete than another demonstration video would. Smaller conveniences have landed too: my iPhone is the key, and Summon brought the car to me outside of an orthopedist’s office, where I had taken an incapacitated family member.
There’s a business-model angle as well. Tesla sells cars and operates the Supercharger network, with compatible non-Tesla EVs able to pay to use select sites. In that limited sense, I think of Elon Musk as combining Henry Ford’s vehicle business with a Rockefeller-like interest in the fueling infrastructure.
Choosin’ Tesla
If you’re considering a Tesla, my referral link currently offers qualifying new buyers three months of FSD (Supervised).
Tesla lists the subscription at $99 per month. I may receive a referral benefit if you use the link. Tesla’s terms and eligibility rules apply.
The Setup Now
Chartmill currently rates Tesla’s overall technicals 3/10 and its setup 8/10. Normally, we’d wait for a stock’s overall technical rating to turn positive—above 5 on Chartmill’s 10-point scale. With Tesla, that wait would likely mean paying substantially more. So we waited for it to clear our Early Recovery Screen: a close above a rising 50-day exponential moving average (EMA) and a setup rating above 6. At Tuesday’s close, TSLA was $378.90, above its $360.26 50-day EMA, which had risen from $359.50 the prior day. Tesla met both conditions while its overall rating was still 3/10, and the trade structure we’re using below extends through two earnings cycles, so the fundamentals have a chance to drive another leg higher.
Today’s second trade comes from Portfolio Armor’s Top Names, the securities our system estimates will deliver the highest returns over the next six months, net of hedging cost. Today’s additional candidate is a software company ranked among our system’s top ten names as of yesterday’s close. Paid subscribers have both option structures, entry limits, and exit plans below.
New to our trade alerts? Start here to see how where we get our trade ideas from, how an idea becomes a trade.
Today’s Tesla Trade
Theme: embodied AI and electric vehicles.
RSI: 60; Chartmill Technical Rating: 3; Setup Rating: 8.
