Trade Alert: More War
Bullish options trades on four promising setups—but only if the market comes to us.
Staying Disciplined In A Hostile Tape
President Trump’s speech last night, suggesting the war could continue for another two or three weeks, was broadly consistent with the view we’ve been expressing here: that this conflict is more likely to be resolved within the next month or so than to drag on indefinitely. The market’s initial reaction was bearish anyway, with stocks sliding and oil jumping back above $100, which suggests some of that reaction may prove overdone if our timing is roughly right. But whether it is or not, that kind of uncertainty may give us a chance to get a few fills below fair value today.
Just as importantly, we’re staying disciplined here the same way we did yesterday, when the market was rising. We’re not changing our standards just because the tape is weak. Either the market comes to our prices, or it doesn’t. We’re not chasing anything in this environment.
Letting The Market Come To Us
That discipline matters in both directions. For example, our trade yesterday on a company tied to the buildout of new power capacity for AI infrastructure did not fill. But the stock passed our screens again last night, so we’re taking another shot at it today—again at a price we think makes sense. If we get filled, great. If not, we move on.
That same logic applies to today’s other trades. We have one on a semiconductor-equipment name tied to leading-edge chip manufacturing. Another is on a test-and-measurement company that sits underneath the AI and semiconductor ecosystem. A third is on a power-capacity name whose story has only grown more credible since it became a big winner for us earlier this year. And the fourth is on a clinical-stage biotech name from our Multibaggers workflow, where we think the options are priced attractively enough to justify a defined-risk bullish shot.
Same View, Same Process
So the broader setup has not changed much. We still think this war is more likely to be wrapped up by May than to become a permanent fixture, and we’re still aiming our bullish exposure several months beyond that. But we’re doing it selectively, through names that pass our tighter entry rules, and at bids designed to reflect the uncertainty in this market. If we get filled below fair value, all the better.
Today’s First Top Names Trade
Semiconductor equipment / AI capex theme
