Category: Security Selection
The Fed Doesn’t Care About The Midterms
The Democrats have been predicted to loose all year, so the Fed knows it won’t get blamed for this one. It will get blamed for interference in 2024 if it doesn’t finish tightening before then. All the more reason to lean hawkish now.
The Case Against China Invading Taiwan
Why China probably won’t invade Taiwan. Plus, an update on betting against Chinese stocks.
Preventing World War T From Turning Into World War III
How Elon Musk’s takeover of Twitter can be a force for peace. Plus an update on our macro call after an eventful week in tech capped by Musk’s acquisition of Twitter.
Netflix Returns To Our Top Names
Netflix returns to our top names. Why the company may have a couple of tailwinds. What it’s inclusion in our top names says about near term market direction.
What Comes Next In China
Why one analyst argues China may try to take Taiwan as early as this winter. Plus, an update on how our bearish China ETF has performed since we included it in a portfolio last week.
Protests In Iran
Do Iranian girlbosses want drag queen story hours? Plus, betting against silver.
Steve Bannon Speaks
In light of Steve Bannon’s sentencing, an informative recent interview with him. Plus, an update on our system’s bets against Treasury bonds.
Underwater In A Bear Market?
An aggressive portfolio including hedged bets on higher rates continuing for the next several months.
Avoiding Head Fakes–In War, And In Markets
Update: Elon Musk flips and says he’ll continue to foot the bill for Starlink after being put on the Ukraine’s kill list. Plus, keeping your eye on the big picture, and the underlying trends.